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John Goodale's avatar

I made that same within-a-decade prediction in a conference talk early last year.

I posed the question in a Q&A at a panel at SXSW earlier this week, three of the four panelists said within 5 years; one said in TWO years.

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Eddie B's avatar

I think Chomsky summed this up quite nicely

Doesn't think, doesn't reason and doesn't understand. Has no workdy knowledge, just statistical likelihoods of word sequences in context of other word sequences. The illusion of understanding. Doesn't matter how large you scale it, it will never think or reason.

https://web.archive.org/web/20230310163612/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/08/opinion/noam-chomsky-chatgpt-ai.html

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